This post was made on June 7, 2018 at 9:23 PST
Note: 63 seats is required for a majority government.
CBC Poll Tracker (Eric Grenier)
“89.7% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority”
Seat Predictions:
OPC: 78
NDP: 45
OLP: 1
EKOS
“EKOS Predicts PC Majority”
Seat Predictions / Popular Vote:
OPC: 67-75 / 39.1%
NDP: 41-49 / 35.1%
OLP: 5-10 / 18.9%
Green: 0-1 / 5%
IPSOS
“Tories Poised for Majority”
Popular Vote:
OPC: 39%
NDP: 36%
OLP: 19%
Green: 6%
Mainstreet
“PCs On Course To Form Government”
Popular Vote:
OPC: 39%
NDP: 34.3%
OLP: 20.2%
Green: 4.9%
Forum
“Forum Predicts a Progressive Conservative Majority”
Seat Predictions / Popular Vote:
OPC: 76 / 39%
NDP: 39 / 34%
OLP: 9 / 21%
Barry Kay, Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (see also)
Conservative Majority
Seat Predictions / Popular Vote:
OPC: 69 / 38%
NDP: 50 / 37%
OLP: 4 / 19%
Green: 1
Advanced Symbolics
Conservative Majority
Seat Predictions:
OPC: 74
NDP: 49
OLP: 1
Warren Kinsella
Conservative Majority
Seat Predictions:
OPC: 72
NDP: 47
OLP: 4
Green: 1
Paul Tuns
Conservative Majority
Seat Predictions:
OPC: 71
NDP: 51
OLP: 2
My friend Doug
Conservative Majority
Seat Predictions / Popular Vote:
OPC: 80 / 41%
NDP: 36 / 36%
OLP: 7 / 19%
Green: 1 / 3%
The post For Posterity: Predictions for the June, 7 2018 Ontario election appeared first on J.J. McCullough.